Historical baseline
Brampton recorded:
– 2018: 34.50% turnout — 108,070 ballots / 313,273 eligible voters. Brampton
– 2022: 24.56% — about 87,115 voters / 354,884 eligible voters.
we can construct one transparently from the 2018 = 34.50%, 2022 = 24.56%, City’s ~30% historical benchmark
– 2018 mayoral votes: 105,553
– 2022 mayoral votes: 84,919 Brampton
– Two-election average: 95,236 mayoral votes
Using your 29.53% historical turnout average and the 2022 eligible-voter base of 354,884 gives roughly 104,800 ballots, of which historically about 97.5% included a mayoral vote.
🔢 Working 2026 estimate
≈ 102,000–105,000 mayoral votes
I would use ~103,000 mayoral votes as your practical working figure for your Brampton numerology analysis—not as an election prediction.
2026 Mayoral Working Number
≈ 52,500 votes
2026 Approx. Winning Vote — Working Figures
Ward Group 2026 working winning votes
Wards 1 & 5 6,000
Wards 2 & 6 6,000
Wards 3 & 4 5,500
Wards 7 & 8 5,500
Wards 9 & 10 10,000
Simple figures only
These are working vote targets for analysis, not predictions of who will win. The 2026 election is scheduled for October 26. The 2026 City Councillor winning vote should increase over 2022, I would use approximately 10–15% as a working increase.